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The after-effects of Hurricane Harvey in Houston,
Texas
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in Houston, Texas
Friday, September 1, 2017 –
6:15pm
As one of the most vulnerable US states, Texas should expect to
get hit by a hurricane about once every nine to 16 years, according
to climatecentral.org.
Houston, in the southeast corner of the state, is one of the top
five US cities most at risk, perched as it is on the edge of the
Gulf of Mexico, directly in the path of oncoming storms. But
despite the well-documented risk of coastal flooding, about 40,000
people live below the 100-year flood level in Houston.
As a result, when category four Hurricane Harvey blew through
Texas this week, it killed at least 39 people, caused an estimated
$90bn (£70bn) in damage, triggered chemical fires, shut down oil
refineries and left at least 30,000 homeless in its wake.
“In its devastatingly slow crawl up the industrial Gulf Coast,
Hurricane Harvey is proving to be the biggest test yet of the
safety and vulnerabilities of the US chemicals industry,” Bloomberg writes.
Stunning photos show how torrential rains
transformed a Texas highway into a choppy ocean https://t.co/Bh95EHRRKD pic.twitter.com/XUjc9MdEsi— New York Post (@nypost) August 30, 2017
This begs an obvious question: why do Houston and other cities
build houses in dangerously flood-prone areas?
An old and expensive problem
For some parts of the US, flooding had been so common and so
expensive for such a long period of time that private insurers all
but stopped offering flood insurance for homes.
Hurricane Harvey: Mexico delivers aid to
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Houston Texas woman finds two alligators in her backyard
following Hurricane Harvey
So, in 1968, the US government passed a bill to instigate a
National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP). The Federal Emergency Management Agency says the
program “aims to reduce the impact of flooding on private and
public structures”, and that it does so “by providing affordable
insurance to property owners and by encouraging communities to
adopt and enforce floodplain management regulations”.
While private insurers cover homes, the bills are ultimately
paid by the federal government, says the Washington Post.
“People who couldn’t be insured for flood damage before can
under the NFIP,” the Washington Post says, with the program
offering insurance to those who need it because they have a
federally backed mortgage and live in highly flood-prone area.
Cheap land
The death and destruction left in the wake of Hurricane Harvey
might seem to be a good reason for the US government to renew the
flood insurance program before the deadline passes next month.
Those in harm’s way clearly need all the help they can get from the
government.
But critics of the program blame the NFIP for the destruction
caused by Harvey, and say that its renewal will lead to further
devastation in the future.
“Houston’s horrible situation is the precise argument for why
the program needs to be wound down,” says MarketWatch. Subsidised insurance for those who
live in highly flood-prone regions provides an incentive for
companies to build housing in such areas, the site argues.
The Week US agrees. “Where a normal insurance
company would jack up the premium price to cover the high risk of
floodplain construction, thus discouraging vulnerable building
plans among those who cannot afford to cover the cost of disaster,
the NFIP will insure this construction at a discount,” Bonnie
Kristian writes. “This incentivises risky construction and
downplays the nature of the risk.”
Houston has been on the receiving end of the benefits – and the
dangers – of NFIP since the program’s inception in 1968, with risky
housing developments sprawling out into the city’s neighbouring
flood plains and swamp-filled drainage basins, which would normally
bear the brunt of major flooding.
Vox suggests that building on such cheap land
has promoted economic growth and allowed people to turn a blind eye
to the enormous risks
Climate change
Some believe the situation is unsustainable. As climate change
intensifies, the frequency but also the severity of hurricanes
could increase, meaning supposedly once-in-a-lifetime storms like
Hurricane Harvey could batter Houston several times a decade.
With more available housing, more resident have moved into
flood-prone areas and, if climate change trends increase the
likelihood of flooding, the NFIP will be “overwhelmed” In the
space of seven years, NFIP’s losses for two hurricanes – Hurricane
Katrina in 2005 and Hurricane Sandy in 2012 – equal nearly half of
all premiums paid betweeen 1978 to 2016, the Washington Post says.
Trump’s dilemma
In August, President Donald Trump repealed an Obama-era
directive to improve flood protection standards in the face of
climate change, which dictated that those receiving federal funds
for building must consider the future effects of flooding in their
construction plans.
Trump’s decision to roll back the plan was part of an executive
order designed to streamline infrastructure construction by
“removing federal red tape”, writes USA Today.
Yet by repealing the Obama initiative without any indication
that the NFIP will face reform, “some conservative groups [say the
repeal] would force taxpayers to repeatedly pay to rebuild
structures in flood zones.”
What next?
Axing the NFIP and returning to private flood insurance, with
its accurate risk signaling, is overdue, The Week US says: “It is
neither ethical nor practical to maintain the current arrangement
of government subsidies for real estate recklessness.”
Other’s aren’t convinced.
“It would be unfair to drop the program at the drop of a hat for
the homeowners who already live in such areas,” says MarketWatch. “That would make it basically
impossible for existing homeowners to resell their properties.”
NFIP could instead refuse to guarantee coverage of additional
properties, the site suggests. “That would put the risk back into
the private sector — where it belongs — and disincentivize building
in flood-prone areas.”
David Conrad, an independent federal water policy consultant,
says something has to change.
“This isn’t the storm of the millennium,” he told Politico last week. “It’s going to happen again
and again.”
Hurricane Harvey Texas
Climate change
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